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Santa Anita Picks. Jockeys who win a high percentage of the races they ride in not only have their choice of the best mounts, they also generally have skill sets that are much better than their fellow riders.

A 12 percent jockey usually receives less talented mounts, but there is more to it than that. Occasionally these low percentage jockeys will get the best mounts, but they almost always find a way to screw things up.

Can they win? Sure, but not often enough to make them part of a profitable strategy. While a top percentage jockey often has a chance to win regardless of the odds, the horses you want to watch for them on are those among the top three public choices.

You can then look at the trainer percentages and the jockey-trainer combo percentages to see if these numbers improve the odds even further in your favor.

These trainers win at a 20 percent clip for numerous reasons brains, talent, the ability to attract the best jockeys, medication and numerous other factors but they win consistently more races then their competition.

Partnered with a top jockey and a top-three betting choice, high percentage trainers can win at an even better rate. There are many different ways to evaluate talent in this era of speed figures and performance ratings.

The task at hand is to determine two things: What is the horse capable of doing? Those horses that do not figure within three lengths of the top contenders in the race can be eliminated.

CLASS: This is a tricky part of the puzzle since horses can improve and regress quickly in this day-and-age of year-round racing when trainers try and squeeze races out of horses that obviously need a rest and the track veterinarians help them do it with an array of legal medications.

Horses that benefitted from easy pace pictures, strong bias situations or simply raced against a bad bunch of rivals, should be viewed with skepticism when trying to step up to a tougher level.

The best class jumpers to play are those that tailed off, dropped in class and are now moving back up while appearing to have regained their form.

Even horses that are in form and have the ability and the class to win are generally beaten when entered in unsuitable races.

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1 Antworten

  1. Kagamuro sagt:

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